AWC.AX Alumina Limited ASX drops to A$1.45 on 25 Feb 2026: active volume signals near-term test
AWC.AX stock closed at A$1.45 on the ASX on 25 Feb 2026, down 1.69% on very heavy volume of 206,210,866 shares. The move left the stock below its 50-day average of A$1.71 but above the 200-day average of A$1.25, signalling mixed momentum for Alumina Limited (AWC.AX) in Australia’s Basic Materials sector. Investors are watching cash flow metrics, EPS of -0.08, and the company’s 40% stake in Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals as catalysts for near-term trading activity.
AWC.AX stock: Price action and liquidity
Alumina Limited (AWC.AX) traded between A$1.45 and A$1.50 during the session and closed at A$1.45. Volume was 206,210,866 versus an average volume of 10,489,286, giving a relative volume of 19.66, which marks it as one of the most active ASX names today.
High turnover increases short-term volatility and gives traders liquidity to enter or exit positions quickly. The gap below the 50-day average points to short-term pressure while the 200-day average offers a longer-term support reference at A$1.25.
AWC.AX stock: Fundamentals and valuation
AWC.AX shows EPS of -0.08 and a negative PE around -18.13, reflecting recent losses on the income statement. Market capitalisation stands at A$4.21B with shares outstanding 2,901,680,128.
Key valuation ratios include a price-to-book near 2.00 and enterprise value over EBITDA of 24.79, which indicate the market values Alumina’s asset base despite weak margins. Current ratio at 1.14 and debt-to-equity at 0.21 suggest a modest leverage profile for a basic materials holding company.
AWC.AX stock: Sector context and catalysts
AWC.AX sits in the Basic Materials sector, which showed a 1.05% one-day gain for the group, driven by commodity price moves. Alumina’s earnings and the performance of Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals remain direct catalysts for AWC.AX stock.
Other near-term catalysts include alumina/aluminium price swings, shipping costs, and any operational updates from the company’s refineries or the Portland smelter in Victoria. Watch global demand indicators and quarterly reports for clearer direction.
AWC.AX stock: Technical setup and trading signals
The stock is trading below the 50-day moving average of A$1.71 but above the 200-day of A$1.25, a mixed technical profile. Day range A$1.45–A$1.50 suggests short-term consolidation after recent swings.
Traders will watch immediate support at A$1.25 and resistance at the 50-day near A$1.71. Relative volume and large trade sizes make intraday breakouts or breakdowns more likely to carry momentum.
Meyka Grade & AWC.AX stock valuation review
Meyka AI rates AWC.AX with a score out of 100: 59.30 | Grade: C+ | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The score reflects moderate balance sheet strength but weak profitability and mixed momentum.
This grade is informational only and not financial advice. Investors should combine it with their own research and risk tolerance before trading AWC.AX stock.
AWC.AX stock: Forecasts, price targets and risks
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month level of A$1.51, three-year A$1.67, and five-year A$1.82. Against today’s price A$1.45, the 12-month model implies an upside of 3.85%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Key downside risks include continued negative margins, adverse aluminium market moves, and operational disruptions at partner assets. Upside stems from improved aluminium demand, cost control at refineries, and stronger cash flows from the Alcoa joint venture.
Final Thoughts
AWC.AX stock closed at A$1.45 on 25 Feb 2026 after heavy trading that made it one of the day’s most active ASX names. Volume of 206,210,866 shares delivered strong liquidity and short-term volatility, leaving the stock below its 50-day average (A$1.71) but above the 200-day (A$1.25). Fundamentals are mixed: EPS -0.08, PE -18.13, market cap A$4.21B, and modest leverage with debt-to-equity 0.21. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month level of A$1.51, implying about 3.85% upside from today’s price. Our proprietary Meyka grade is C+ (59.30), indicating a HOLD stance based on sector comparison and financial metrics. For most investors, AWC.AX stock is appropriate for active traders who can manage commodity exposure and payout uncertainty. Longer-term investors should watch operational reports from Alcoa and alumina price trajectories before increasing exposure. For more details see the company site and our stock page for updated data and alerts.
FAQs
What drove AWC.AX stock’s heavy volume today?
AWC.AX stock saw heavy volume of 206,210,866 shares due to active trading and sector moves in Basic Materials. Large block trades and short-term positioning ahead of commodity data or company updates typically explain this turnover.
What is Meyka AI’s 12-month outlook for AWC.AX stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects A$1.51 in 12 months for AWC.AX stock, implying 3.85% upside from the current A$1.45. Forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.
Are fundamentals for AWC.AX stock strong enough for buy?
Fundamentals are mixed: EPS -0.08, PE -18.13, price-to-book 2.00, and debt-to-equity 0.21. Meyka AI assigns a C+ HOLD grade, so many investors will wait for margin improvement before buying.
Where can I get official company updates for AWC.AX stock?
Official updates come from Alumina Limited’s website and ASX announcements. For ongoing tracking and alerts see the Meyka stock page for AWC.AX for real-time market analysis.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.