AVAV AeroVironment (NASDAQ) down 6.99% intraday: monitor FY26 outlook

AeroVironment (AVAV) slid 6.99% intraday to $211.39 on 11 Mar 2026 after a Q3 revenue and profit miss and a lowered FY26 outlook. AVAV stock traded between $199.37 and $213.56 on heavy volume of 3,803,619 shares as investors digested guidance changes and a goodwill charge in the Space unit. This intraday drop follows an earnings call that updated FY26 revenue to $1.85B–$1.95B, shifting near-term margin expectations and driving today’s selling pressure in the United States NASDAQ market.

AVAV stock intraday move and catalysts

AVAV stock opened at $204.29 and fell from yesterday’s close of $227.29, reflecting a -$15.90 move. The selloff followed a Q3 revenue and profit miss and a lowered FY26 outlook tied to the SCAR contract termination and a Space goodwill impairment. For real-time headlines, see coverage on Seeking Alpha and live price updates on Investing.com.

AVAV stock earnings, guidance and analyst reaction

The company reported an earnings announcement on 10 Mar 2026 with EPS of -1.23 and an effective PE around -180.14 due to negative trailing earnings. Management cut FY26 revenue guidance to $1.85B–$1.95B and flagged margin pressure after SCAR ended. The sell-side remains mixed: broker tallies show 3 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 1 Hold, 1 Sell, producing a consensus sentiment tilt toward Buy but with heightened near-term caution.

AVAV stock fundamentals and valuation metrics

On fundamentals, AVAV shows strong liquidity with a current ratio of 5.08 and cash per share $11.84, while book value per share is $88.85. Trailing metrics show price to sales 8.15, price to book 2.52, and EV/EBITDA at 101.17, signaling rich valuation against profits. Net income is negative and operating cash flow per share is -3.92, underscoring continuing cash conversion and profitability challenges for this Aerospace & Defense industrial name.

AVAV stock technicals and trading signals

Technically AVAV stock shows momentum weakness: RSI 39.91, MACD -15.05 with histogram -1.51, and ATR 21.98, pointing to elevated intraday volatility. Price sits below the 50-day average ($281.43) and 200-day average ($274.02), and Bollinger lower band is $207.21, which aligns with today’s intraday low of $199.37. Short-term traders should note MFI 17.40 (oversold) and an ADX 16.12 (no clear trend).

Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score out of 100 and forecast for AVAV stock

Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score out of 100: 75 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, analyst consensus, and model forecasts. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of $259.13, a near-to-mid term target of $230.40 (monthly) and a quarterly target of $288.06. These model outputs compare to the current price $211.39 and imply measurable upside, but forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For more on AVAV stock data see our page at Meyka AVAV page.

Final Thoughts

Key takeaways on AVAV stock: today’s intraday drop to $211.39 reflects a mix of disappointing Q3 results, a goodwill charge in Space, and a trimmed FY26 outlook of $1.85B–$1.95B. Fundamentals show strong balance-sheet liquidity (current ratio 5.08, cash per share $11.84), but negative EPS (-1.23) and weak operating cash flow per share (-3.92) weigh on valuation. Technically the stock sits below its 50-day ($281.43) and 200-day ($274.02) averages with RSI 39.91, signaling short-term weakness. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of $259.13, implying an upside of 22.59% from $211.39; this offers a data-driven recovery scenario but consumers should factor in execution risk and defense-contract timing. Remember these forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Use AVAV stock in portfolios that can tolerate volatility and sector-specific execution risk across Aerospace & Defense.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.