ATH.TO stock trades at C$8.90 intraday on the TSX as Athabasca Oil Corporation prepares to report quarterly results on 4 March 2026. We see a near-term earnings test after a 1-year gain of 88.17% and a year high of C$9.15. Volume today is 2,924,870, above the 20-day average volume, and the company posts a trailing EPS of 0.87 and a trailing PE of 10.06. We preview the earnings drivers, valuation angles, and what could move ATH.TO stock after the report

ATH.TO stock: upcoming earnings and key dates

Athabasca Oil Corporation (ATH.TO) will report results on 4 March 2026. The report will update production, operating costs, and free cash flow, which matter most for a producer. Management commentary on capital spending and oil pricing sensitivity will be the immediate catalyst. Analysts and traders often reprice ATH.TO stock after the guidance and quarterly capital allocation commentary. We expect the market to focus on realized crude prices and free cash flow conversion versus the prior twelve-month free cash flow of C$215.34M

Quarter preview: revenue, EPS and margin drivers for ATH.TO earnings

ATH.TO’s recent financials show revenue of C$1.36B and net income of C$462.85M over the last 12 months. Key drivers this quarter will be realized oil prices, production mix between light and thermal oil, and operating cost per barrel. Watch for updated guidance on capital expenditures, given prior capex of C$325.53M and operating cash flow of C$540.88M. If operating margins hold near the trailing operating margin of 28.44%, the market may reward the stock

ATH.TO stock valuation: multiples, balance sheet and analyst targets

Valuation for ATH.TO stock looks conservative by sector standards. Market cap is C$4.25B and enterprise value is about C$4.19B. Trailing PE reads 10.06 and price/book is 2.42. A recent analyst price target from MarketBeat sits at C$7.75. For detailed stats on taxes, cash and debt, see the company profile and metrics at StockAnalysis. source source

Technical and trading snapshot for ATH.TO stock

On the intraday chart ATH.TO stock is trading between the day low C$8.70 and day high C$8.95. Momentum indicators show an RSI near 60.31, ADX at 29.87 indicating a strong trend, and Bollinger upper band at C$9.08. Average volume is 2,192,590 and today’s volume is 2,924,870, so liquidity is robust ahead of earnings. Traders will watch support near the 50-day average C$7.52 and resistance around C$9.15 year high

Meyka AI grade and ATH.TO stock forecast

Meyka AI rates ATH.TO with a score out of 100. Meyka AI rates ATH.TO with a score of 76.51 out of 100 and gives a B+ (BUY) suggestion. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 1-year price of C$8.79 and a 3-year price of C$12.71. Compared with the current price of C$8.90, the 1-year projection implies a -1.24% change and the 3-year projection implies a +42.81% upside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Meyka AI is an AI-powered market analysis platform

Risks and upside catalysts for ATH.TO stock

Risks include a short-term drop in oil prices, unexpected production outages, and weaker-than-expected free cash flow. ATH.TO’s net cash position of C$132.52M and low debt-to-equity near 0.11 limit balance-sheet risk. Upside catalysts are stronger realized oil prices, cost control, and positive guidance on buybacks or increased shareholder returns. Short interest is material and could amplify moves if the print surprises the market

Final Thoughts

ATH.TO stock enters the March 4, 2026 earnings window with solid fundamentals and clear catalysts. At C$8.90 the stock trades at a trailing PE of 10.06, market cap of C$4.25B, and carries a net cash position of C$132.52M. Our view is that the report must confirm free cash flow strength and conservative capex to sustain current valuation. Meyka AI’s model projects C$8.79 in one year, implying a small near-term downside of -1.24%, while a three-year projection of C$12.71 implies a +42.81% upside from today. We note an external analyst target of C$7.75 and the need to weigh that against Athabasca’s high margins and balance-sheet strength. Traders should watch realized prices, production guidance, and any capital-allocation moves. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. These grades and forecasts are informational and not financial advice

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.