ATD.TO stock C$80.80 close on TSX 11 Mar 2026: earnings will shape price targets

The most important fact: ATD.TO stock closed at C$80.80 on the TSX on 11 Mar 2026, down C$1.50 or -1.82%, with 1,533,252 shares traded as investors position for the company’s earnings announcement. The upcoming fiscal update creates a near-term catalyst for Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (TSX: ATD.TO) as analysts weigh fuel margins, same-store sales and international growth. We examine the numbers, Meyka AI forecasts, and the price targets that could move the stock after the report

ATD.TO stock: Earnings calendar and what to expect

Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD.TO) is set to report earnings on 17 Mar 2026, a key event for investors tracking fuel margins and retail convenience sales. The company’s EPS trailing twelve months sits at 3.74 and the market will watch any guidance change and international performance commentary. Expect management comments on North American same-store sales and fuel margin trends. Analysts will also look for updates on capital allocation and any changes to the company’s rollout of store formats and partnerships.

ATD.TO stock: Financials, valuation and key ratios

On close the stock priced at C$80.80 with a market cap near C$76.00B and reported P/E of 21.60. Trailing metrics show revenue per share 76.99, free cash flow per share 3.10, and a payout ratio of 0.20, supporting a dividend of C$0.80 per share. Balance sheet and leverage matter: debt-to-equity runs about 1.02 and net debt to EBITDA is 2.26, weighing on valuation despite strong ROE at 17.36%. These figures frame expectations for margins and capital returns in the earnings report.

ATD.TO stock: Market reaction and technical picture

Price action shows a close at C$80.80, intraday range C$80.71–C$82.58, and 50-day average C$78.12 versus 200-day C$73.54, indicating medium-term strength. Volume at 1,533,252 is near the average of 1,617,933, and the RSI at 49.33 signals a neutral momentum balance. Technicals show ADX 32.12 indicating a trend, while MACD histogram sits negative at -0.57, suggesting near-term pullback risk into earnings. Traders should watch support at the 200-day MA and Bollinger lower band near C$80.52.

ATD.TO stock: Meyka AI grade and model forecast

Meyka AI rates ATD.TO with a score of 70.74 out of 100 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The rating reflects strong ROE and cash flow, tempered by leverage and a higher P/B ratio. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly value of C$78.72 and a yearly value of C$70.29. Compared with the current close of C$80.80, the monthly forecast implies a downside of -2.54% and the yearly forecast implies -13.01%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

ATD.TO stock: Analyst targets, recent news and consensus

Street coverage remains mixed: MarketBeat lists a current price target of C$91.17, which implies +12.83% upside from today’s close source. Recent press coverage noted trading moves around earnings commentary and international performance source. Investors should reconcile bullish price targets with Meyka AI’s model outlook and the company’s capital structure ahead of the report.

ATD.TO stock: Risks and opportunities ahead of earnings

Key opportunities include resilience in convenience retailing, cross-border scale benefits, and continued free cash flow growth. Alimentation Couche-Tard’s footprint under Circle K and other brands supports revenue diversification across fuel, retail and services. Risks include commodity-driven fuel margin swings, execution on international expansions, and leverage that leaves less flexibility for large buybacks. Watch operating margin trends and any guidance revisions that could change valuation quickly.

Final Thoughts

Key takeaways for ATD.TO stock: the market closed at C$80.80 on 11 Mar 2026, with the company facing an earnings report on 17 Mar 2026 that should move estimates for fuel margins and retail sales. Financials show solid ROE at 17.36%, EPS 3.74, and a P/E around 21.60, but leverage and elevated P/B remain valuation headwinds. Meyka AI’s model projects C$78.72 for the month and C$70.29 for the year, implying a near-term downside of -2.54% and a one-year downside of -13.01% versus today’s close. By contrast, some street targets, including a C$91.17 price target, imply +12.83% upside, creating a clear split between analyst optimism and model caution. Investors should use the earnings call to assess management’s view on margins, capital allocation and international trends. This report matters: it will likely set the tone for price targets and may compress or widen the gap between model forecasts and analyst estimates. Meyka AI provides this as data-driven market analysis, not investment advice, and forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.