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AQN stock down 12.12% 06 Mar 2026 after Q4 beat, weak FY27 guide: watch the call

March 6, 2026
4 min read
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AQN stock plunged 12.12% intraday to $6.13 on 06 Mar 2026. Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) reported Q4 revenue and EPS beats, yet issued softer FY2027 EPS guidance. We cover the Q4 detail, updated guidance, market reaction on the NYSE in the United States, and what to listen for on the company call. This earnings spotlight ties recent results to valuation, technicals, and Meyka AI’s near-term forecast.

Earnings snapshot: AQN stock Q4 results

Algonquin reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.06, beating the Zacks consensus of $0.04. Revenue was $630.70M, above expectations by 10.90%. These beats explain part of the earlier year strength, but the market focused on guidance. Management confirmed the earnings announcement on 06 Mar 2026 and the call commentary will drive near-term trading.

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Guidance and analyst reaction for AQN stock

Algonquin updated FY2027 EPS guidance to $0.38–$0.42, below the consensus of $0.44. The company also set FY2026 guidance at $0.35–$0.37. Wall Street views are mixed: recent analyst targets cluster near $6.67, with some at $7.50. Expect volatility as investors reprice AQN stock around the new guidance range.

Valuation and financials: what AQN stock shows

At $6.13, AQN stock trades with a market cap near $5.30B and EPS of 0.07. Reported PE is 98.50, reflecting recent earnings patterns and nonrecurring items. Key ratios: price-to-book 1.13, debt-to-equity 1.39, and dividend yield about 3.79%. Free cash flow remains pressured at negative -0.45 per share, which raises coverage questions despite regulated utility cash flows.

Technical and trading signals for AQN stock

Intraday range sits between $5.95 and $6.52, with 50-day average $6.51 and 200-day average $5.97. Momentum indicators show RSI 62.81 and MACD histogram positive. Average volume is 4.76M shares; today’s volume is 3.38M. Traders should watch support near $5.95 and resistance near the $7.06 Bollinger upper band.

Meyka AI grade and model forecast for AQN stock

Meyka AI rates AQN with a score out of 100: 66.04 (Grade B) and suggestion HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects yearly $7.47 and quarterly $8.19 targets. Versus the current price $6.13, the yearly forecast implies 21.85% upside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. See more at our Meyka stock page: Algonquin (AQN) on Meyka.

Risks, catalysts and what to watch in AQN stock

Primary risks include high leverage (net-debt-to-EBITDA ~ 7.56), interest coverage near 1.51, and sensitivity to regulatory outcomes. Catalysts include constructive rate decisions in regulated utilities and incremental renewable asset starts. The upcoming management commentary and guidance detail are the immediate catalysts for AQN stock direction.

Final Thoughts

Key takeaways for AQN stock: Algonquin beat Q4 EPS and revenue but issued softer FY2027 EPS guidance. The market sold shares, pushing price to $6.13 on 06 Mar 2026 and widening intraday volatility. Our Meyka AI forecast model projects a yearly price of $7.47, implying 21.85% upside versus the current price. Valuation is mixed: price-to-book is reasonable at 1.13, but free cash flow and high net-debt-to-EBITDA are clear risks. For traders, technical support sits near $5.95 and resistance near $7.06. For longer-term investors, watch guidance execution, regulated rate cases, and debt reduction progress. These forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For live updates and the full data set, see Algonquin on Meyka and the earnings write-ups from Zacks and MarketBeat.

FAQs

What drove today’s move in AQN stock?

Today’s move followed a Q4 revenue and EPS beat but a softer FY2027 EPS guide. Investors focused on guidance and management remarks, causing intraday selling and higher volatility in AQN stock.

What is the Meyka AI forecast for AQN stock?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of $7.47, implying about 21.85% upside from the current $6.13. Forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.

Should I trade AQN stock around the earnings call?

Earnings calls can move AQN stock sharply. Short-term traders may find opportunities on volatility. Long-term investors should weigh guidance, leverage, and regulated revenue stability before acting.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
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