Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) closed at $53.26 USD on 09 Mar 2026 after trading between $49.89 and $53.57 on the NASDAQ in the United States. AMBA stock rose 1.69% on volume of 1,026,437 shares as investors digested strong edge AI design wins, recent product launches and mixed valuation signals. We review the Q3/Q4 results, key ratios, technical setup and what analyst price targets mean for investors.
AMBA stock: latest earnings and revenue drivers
Ambarella reported revenue of $100.87 million in the recent quarter, beating estimates by $0.70 million, and reported EPS of $0.13, above the $0.10 consensus. Revenue rose 20.10% year over year. The company cites demand for edge AI SoCs in automotive, security and drones as the driver. The next official earnings date is 2026-05-28.
AMBA stock: valuation and key metrics
Valuation remains mixed. AMBA shows EPS of -1.78 and a trailing PE of -29.90 while price-to-sales is 5.85 and price-to-book is 3.85. Cash per share is 7.24 and shareholders’ equity per share is 13.77, giving a healthy current ratio of 2.31. Analysts’ consensus target sits near $96.00, leaving a wide spread versus the current price.
AMBA stock technicals and trading picture
Technically AMBA is oversold. RSI is 27.97 and MACD histogram is negative at -1.42, while the 50-day average is $66.57 and 200-day average is $71.69. Daily ATR is 3.77, signaling elevated volatility. On balance volume and momentum indicators show selling pressure but recent upticks on higher volume suggest short-term buyer interest.
Meyka AI rates AMBA with a score out of 100 and forecast
Meyka AI rates AMBA with a score of 68.83 out of 100 (Grade: B, Suggestion: HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of $80.73 USD. Compared with the current price of $53.26, that implies an upside of 51.59%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
AMBA stock: risks and opportunity checklist
Opportunities: Ambarella’s CV7 and CV5 SoC launches and an expanding developer ecosystem position the company to capture edge AI demand in cameras, robotics and vehicles. Risks: negative trailing EPS, insider selling (50,000 shares sold by the CEO at $60.80), and a wide analyst target spread increase short-term downside risk. Institutional ownership is high at ~82.09%, which can accentuate moves.
Catalysts, analyst views and upcoming dates for AMBA stock
Near-term catalysts include product showcases at industry events, new design wins, and the 2026-05-28 earnings release. Broker targets vary: Needham at $100.00, Deutsche Bank at $80.00, and a MarketBeat consensus near $96.00. Recent institutional moves were mixed; Citigroup trimmed its position and Barclays increased holdings materially. See the latest filings and coverage for details MarketBeat report and company data StockAnalysis summary.
Final Thoughts
AMBA stock closed $53.26 USD on 09 Mar 2026 with clear momentum from edge AI product momentum but an uneven valuation profile. Key fundamentals show solid cash per share ($7.24) and revenue growth of 20.10% last quarter, yet trailing EPS remains negative at -1.78 and the PE reads -29.90, reflecting current losses. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects $80.73 USD for a one-year outlook, implying about 51.59% upside from today’s price; this projection should be seen as a model-based scenario, not a guarantee. Investors focused on AI stocks should weigh Ambarella’s design wins and product cadence against continuing profitability headwinds and insider selling. For traders, technical oversold signals can invite shorter-term entries, while longer-term investors should watch upcoming earnings on 2026-05-28 and verification of sustained margin recovery. Visit AMBA on Meyka for live tracking and AI-powered market analysis
FAQs
Is AMBA stock a buy after the recent earnings beat?
AMBA stock beat revenue and EPS estimates, but EPS remains negative. Consider the growth in edge AI sales versus valuation and watch the next earnings on 2026-05-28 before making a buy decision.
What are the main risks to AMBA stock right now?
Main risks for AMBA stock include negative trailing EPS (-1.78), insider selling, and valuation dispersion among analysts. High institutional ownership can also magnify price swings.
How does Meyka AI view AMBA stock near-term?
Meyka AI rates AMBA 68.83/100 (B, HOLD) and projects a $80.73 USD yearly forecast. The model implies 51.59% upside, but forecasts are model-based and not guaranteed.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
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