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Global Market Insights

8411.T Stock Today: February 28 – AI to Cut 5,000 Roles, JPY 100bn Push

February 28, 2026
5 min read
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Mizuho stock rallied today after the group detailed a large AI plan to boost efficiency and returns. Shares of 8411.T finished at ¥7,151, up 7.65%, after touching a ¥6,912-¥7,151 range. Volume rose to 13.39 million against a 9.92 million average. Management aims to trim workload equal to up to 5,000 roles over 10 years, redeploy staff to sales and wealth, and invest up to ¥100 billion by FY2028. For Japan investors, execution on automation and fee growth now sits at the center of the Mizuho stock story.

Price action and technical picture

Mizuho stock closed at ¥7,151, up ¥508 (+7.65%) on higher volume of 13,390,200 versus a 9,915,161 average. The session ranged between ¥6,912 and ¥7,151. Price sits above the 50-day average of ¥6,454.6 and the 200-day average of ¥5,031.61. Bollinger Bands center near ¥7,128.55 with the upper at ¥7,889.59, placing price near the middle-to-upper zone and keeping the short-term uptrend intact.

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RSI is 50.79, a neutral read, while ADX at 35.27 signals a strong trend. The MACD histogram is negative (-101.65), showing fading momentum. Stochastics (%K 16.11) and CCI (-86.23) lean cautious. Williams %R at -70.59 points to weak near-term strength. Key levels for Mizuho stock are resistance at the ¥7,960 year high and support near the ¥7,129 band center and the ¥6,455 50-day average. ATR is a moderate ¥262.

AI plan: cuts, redeployment, and budget

Management will use AI to reduce back-office workload equal to up to 5,000 roles over about a decade and move staff into sales and wealth management. The group plans up to ¥100 billion in AI investment by FY2028 to raise efficiency and ROE. Details were reported by Nikkei and domestic outlets source. For Mizuho stock, the scale and pace of rollout are key to sentiment.

Shifting people from processing to client-facing roles can lift fee income, cross-sell, and wallet share, while automation lowers the cost base. Investors should watch cost-to-income, ROE, and fee growth as proof points. Domestic coverage notes execution will decide outcomes and market reaction source. If milestones land on time, Mizuho stock could sustain a higher-quality earnings mix with less cyclicality.

Valuation and fundamentals

EPS is ¥422.04, putting the P/E at 16.55. Price-to-book sits at 1.55, and the dividend yield is 1.97% on a ¥137.5 DPS. ROE is 9.73%. On growth, FY2024 revenue rose 60.7% and net income grew 22.2%. The next earnings announcement is set for 14 May 2026. For Mizuho stock, this print is a key check on AI progress and fee momentum.

Debt-to-equity is 5.76 and interest coverage is 0.31, levels typical for a bank but still worth tracking. Price-to-sales is 2.11, gross margin is 44.85%, operating margin is 16.49%, and net margin is 12.86%. SG&A to revenue is 24.40%. Quant signals are mixed: one composite grade is B+ (Buy), while a 26 Feb 2026 fundamental score reads B- with a Sell tilt.

What to watch next in Japan

Near term, the 14 May 2026 results, AI budget phasing through FY2028, and the rate of staff redeployment are the main signposts. Useful KPIs include cost-to-income, ROE, fee and wealth revenue growth, and assets under management. Governance, data quality, and internal tooling adoption also matter. For Mizuho stock, we think consistent KPI delivery is needed to justify any premium to book.

If the Bank of Japan normalizes policy further, net interest margins could stay firm. A slower economy would weigh on loan growth and fees. AI execution, reskilling, and cybersecurity are real risks. Technically, pullbacks toward the ¥6,455 50-day average may attract buyers, while ¥7,960 remains resistance. Position sizing and staged entries can help manage volatility in Mizuho stock.

Final Thoughts

Today’s move puts the AI story front and center for Japan’s third megabank. The plan targets workload cuts equal to up to 5,000 roles, redeployment to higher-value areas, and up to ¥100 billion of investment by FY2028. Price sits above key moving averages, but momentum is mixed, making follow-through dependent on data. For investors in Mizuho stock, we suggest tracking three items: cost-to-income and ROE trend, fee and wealth growth from redeployed staff, and milestone delivery on AI tools and budgets. The 14 May 2026 earnings call is the next proof point. Use clear risk limits, compare multiples to your hurdle rate, and avoid chasing gaps without a plan.

FAQs

What exactly did Mizuho announce about AI and jobs?

Mizuho plans to use AI to streamline back-office work equal to up to 5,000 roles over roughly 10 years. The bank says staff will be redeployed to sales and wealth teams rather than cut outright. It also plans up to ¥100 billion of AI investment by FY2028 to lift efficiency and returns.

How could the AI plan affect profitability and ROE?

Automation should lower processing costs, while moving people to client-facing roles can raise fee income. Together, that can tighten the cost-to-income ratio and support higher ROE. Investors should watch reported ROE, fee and wealth revenue growth, and headcount redeployment updates over the next few quarters.

Is Mizuho stock attractive at current levels?

At ¥7,151, the shares trade at 16.55x earnings and 1.55x book, with a 1.97% dividend yield. That is reasonable if AI execution lifts fees and efficiency, but demanding if progress stalls. Consider your return hurdle, risk tolerance, and preferred entry points around support levels before deciding.

What are the key risks to the AI rollout?

Execution risk around tooling, data quality, and change management is high. Cybersecurity and compliance must keep pace. Redeployment may take longer than expected. Macro risks include slower growth and rate shifts in Japan. If milestones slip, valuation support for the shares could weaken.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes.  Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
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