4435.T Kaonavi JPX intraday: JPY 4,365 oversold bounce signals 25 Feb 2026
We see an intraday oversold bounce setup in 4435.T stock after price held at JPY 4,365.00 on 25 Feb 2026. Kaonavi, Inc. (4435.T) on the JPX shows concentrated buying interest with volume 44,200.00 shares, relative volume 2.85, and a tight intraday range 4,365.00–4,370.00 JPY. The move follows sector strength in Technology and opens a short-term mean-reversion opportunity for traders watching momentum and valuation gaps.
4435.T stock price action and intraday setup
Kaonavi (4435.T) opened at JPY 4,365.00 and traded in a narrow band, hitting a day high 4,370.00 JPY. The quick rebound on elevated volume 44,200.00 suggests short-covering rather than new long accumulation. Traders should watch the next resistance near JPY 4,385.00, the Keltner upper band, and stop below JPY 4,345.00 for an intraday oversold bounce trade.
Fundamentals snapshot: valuation and profitability
Kaonavi reports EPS 68.09 and a market PE near 64.11, with market cap JPY 52,116,790,500.00 on JPX. Key ratios show price-to-sales 7.18 and price-to-book 19.94, indicating premium software valuation versus Technology peers. Gross margin is strong at 76.28%, while net margin runs near 2.08%, so operational leverage must improve to justify current multiples.
Technicals: indicators that support an oversold bounce
Intraday momentum readings and Keltner channels indicate a mean-reversion risk-reward: Keltner middle is JPY 4,365.00 and lower JPY 4,345.00. ATR is 10.00 JPY, controlling stops to that range limits downside. On this intraday bounce strategy, a short-term target of JPY 4,420.00 to JPY 4,500.00 offers a 1.27% to 3.16% upside while keeping risk defined.
Meyka AI grade and model forecast for 4435.T stock
Meyka AI rates 4435.T with a score out of 100: 73.36 (B+, BUY). This grade factors S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 906.76 (yearly projection), implying -79.27% versus the current JPY 4,365.00 price. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees, so treat this as a scenario that highlights valuation sensitivity rather than a trade instruction.
Risks, catalysts and sector context
Downside risk includes stretched valuation metrics (PB 19.94, PS 7.18) and slowing EPS growth: EPS growth is negative year-over-year. Upside catalysts are accelerating enterprise sales in the HR SaaS market, improved operating margins, or positive FY earnings revisions. The Technology sector YTD is up 1.96% but exhibits mixed 1M performance, so keep sector rotation risk in mind.
Trading checklist and practical price targets
For an intraday oversold bounce trade use tight risk controls: entry on a 1–3 minute reversal above JPY 4,370.00, stop-loss JPY 4,345.00, and targets at JPY 4,420.00 (conservative) and JPY 4,500.00 (ambitious). For investors, a multi-case price target range is JPY 3,500.00 (bear) to JPY 5,800.00 (base) assuming margin improvement; update targets as new quarterly results release.
Final Thoughts
Short-term traders can play 4435.T stock as an intraday oversold bounce from JPY 4,365.00 with defined risk controls and quick profit targets around JPY 4,420.00–4,500.00. Fundamental metrics show premium valuation (PE 64.11, PB 19.94), so longer-term investors should wait for margin expansion or clearer revenue acceleration before adding size. Meyka AI’s model projection of JPY 906.76 versus current price highlights valuation model divergence; use that as a cautionary input, not a trade call. Key takeaways: keep stops tight, size positions for volatility, and monitor upcoming earnings and sector flow. For real-time signals and deeper screening, view Kaonavi on Meyka’s platform and the company site source and refer to JPX for official listings source. Meyka AI is the AI-powered market analysis platform used to generate the grade and forecast.
FAQs
What makes 4435.T stock an oversold bounce candidate today?
Price held at JPY 4,365.00 with elevated volume 44,200.00, a tight intraday low, and Keltner support near JPY 4,345.00, signalling short-covering and a short-term mean-reversion opportunity.
How does Meyka AI assess 4435.T stock risk and value?
Meyka AI rates 4435.T with a score out of 100 at 73.36 (B+, BUY) and flags high valuation (PB 19.94, PE 64.11) as primary risk versus revenue momentum needs.
What price targets should traders and investors watch for 4435.T stock?
Intraday targets: JPY 4,420.00 and JPY 4,500.00. Investor range: bear JPY 3,500.00 to base JPY 5,800.00, depending on margin and sales progress.
Does the Meyka AI forecast mean a guaranteed outcome for 4435.T stock?
No. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 906.76 as a scenario output; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Use them with fundamental and technical checks.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.