3814.T Alphax Food (JPX) up 37% to JPY 159 on 23 Feb 2026: volume surge
The high-volume mover 3814.T stock closed at JPY 159.00 on 23 Feb 2026, up 37.07% on 1,281,800 shares traded. That surge followed an intraday range from JPY 99.00 to JPY 163.00 and far exceeded the average volume of 543,810. We examine what drove the spike, how fundamentals and liquidity intersect, and what short-term traders should watch on JPX.
3814.T stock: Price action and volume
Alphax Food System (3814.T, JPX) opened at JPY 101.00 and closed JPY 159.00, a JPY 43.00 gain from the prior close of JPY 116.00. Volume of 1,281,800 shares was 2.36x the average, a classic high-volume mover signal. The day high was JPY 163.00 and the day low was JPY 99.00, showing wide intraday swings and aggressive buying interest.
Catalysts behind the move
Trading concentrated in a narrow window suggests either block buying or short-covering. Alphax announced no new public release today, so the move likely reflects repositioning by traders after recent low prices. Market participants cited stronger-than-expected earnings metrics in prior reports—EPS is JPY 16.11—and renewed interest in its robotics and food-service systems business.
Fundamentals and valuation vs sector
Alphax shows a market cap of JPY 624,669,501.00 and a trailing P/E of 9.87. Revenue per share is JPY 205.15 and net income per share is JPY 11.96. Compared with the Industrials sector average P/E of 18.54, Alphax trades at a discount on P/E but carries balance-sheet quirks: current ratio 0.86 and working capital JPY -89,000,000.00. These figures explain why valuation remains mixed despite the price jump.
Meyka AI rates 3814.T with a score out of 100: 69.14 (Grade B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Grades are informational and not investment advice.
Technical snapshot and liquidity metrics
Price averages sit below the current price: 50-day average JPY 256.72 and 200-day average JPY 316.33, indicating the recent rally sits above medium-term trend. ATR is 32.00, and Keltner channel middle sits near JPY 159.00, matching today’s close. Relative volume at 2.36 confirms above-normal liquidity and easier execution for larger orders on JPX.
Analyst outlook, price targets and forecasts
Analyst coverage is limited and no consensus price target exists publicly. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month price of JPY 118.77, implying a -25.29% gap versus today’s JPY 159.00. For traders we outline scenarios: conservative target JPY 120.00, base case JPY 160.00, and upside case JPY 200.00. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Risks and opportunities for investors
Opportunities: Alphax sells niche software, robotics, and POS services to restaurants and logistics centers. Improved margins (gross margin 40.68%) and EPS strength help the company recover. Risks: high inventory days (184.03), negative working capital, and debt ratios that inflate leverage. Small free-cash-flow yield and thin coverage metrics raise execution risk for long-term investors.
Final Thoughts
Today’s high-volume move left Alphax Food System (3814.T) in focus on JPX. The stock closed at JPY 159.00, with volume 1,281,800 and a relative volume of 2.36, signalling a real liquidity event rather than a thin spike. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 118.77 for the next 12 months, an implied downside of -25.29% versus the current price. Our Meyka grade for 3814.T is 69.14 (Grade B, HOLD) and factors sector, growth, key metrics, and consensus. Short-term traders can exploit momentum and higher liquidity, while longer-term investors should weigh valuation, working capital stress, and operational risks before adding exposure. For live order flow and updates see the Meyka stock page. Sources: Alphax Food System and Japan Exchange Group. Meyka AI provides this as an AI-powered market analysis platform; forecasts are projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
Why did 3814.T stock spike on 23 Feb 2026?
The spike came with heavy volume of 1,281,800, likely from block buying or short-covering. No public corporate news was released, so trader repositioning and recent earnings strength likely triggered the move.
What is Alphax’s valuation after the jump?
At close JPY 159.00, Alphax trades with a P/E of 9.87 and market cap JPY 624,669,501.00. P/E sits below the Industrials average of 18.54, but balance-sheet metrics remain mixed.
What does Meyka AI forecast for 3814.T stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 118.77 over 12 months. That implies an expected downside of -25.29% versus today’s JPY 159.00. Forecasts are model projections, not guarantees.
Should traders buy on the volume surge?
High volume improves liquidity and creates short-term momentum. Traders can trade the move with tight risk controls. Long-term investors should evaluate working capital and leverage before buying.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.