0020.HK SenseTime Group (HKSE) down 10.83% to HK$2.47: active-trader signals
We saw heavy trading in 0020.HK stock as SenseTime Group (HKSE) closed down 10.83% at HK$2.47 on 25 Feb 2026 after opening at HK$2.63. Volume reached 735,846,670.00 shares, well above the 50-day average of 522,995,361.00, making it one of Hong Kong’s most active names at session close. We review price drivers, valuation and short-term signals, and provide Meyka AI’s model forecast and grade to help active traders and investors assess the move.
0020.HK stock: price action and market flow
SenseTime Group (0020.HK) traded between HK$2.46 and HK$2.63, finishing at HK$2.47, down HK$0.30 from the prior close of HK$2.77. The stock’s relative volume of 1.71 and intraday sell pressure point to heavy liquidation by short-term holders.
The large intraday range and volume spike coincide with wider weakness in Hong Kong technology names, especially Hang Seng TECH components, which pressured momentum across AI and auto software plays source. Active traders should note the 50-day average of HK$2.37 and 200-day average of HK$2.04 as near-term support and trend anchors.
0020.HK stock: fundamentals and valuation
SenseTime’s trailing basic metrics remain stretched: EPS -HK$0.10, PE -26.10, price-to-sales 20.88, and price-to-book 3.72. Market capitalization stands at HK$104,176,045,366.00, reflecting growth expectations despite current negative earnings.
Balance-sheet metrics show a current ratio 2.47 and debt-to-equity 0.38, which provide short-term liquidity cover. However, operating cash flow per share is -0.03 and free cash flow per share is -0.08, underlining ongoing cash burn versus revenue growth.
0020.HK stock: technicals and active-trader signals
Technical indicators show mixed momentum: RSI 57.56, MACD 0.08 (signal 0.06), and ADX 29.94 indicating a firm trend. Bollinger Bands are 2.26–2.75 with the mid at 2.51, and the stock closed near the band middle after a gap lower.
Short-term traders should watch support at HK$2.37 (50-day MA) and HK$2.04 (200-day MA). A decisive move below HK$2.04 would risk deeper correction; a close above HK$2.79 would restore near-term bullish bias.
0020.HK stock: Meyka AI grade and forecast
Meyka AI rates 0020.HK with a score out of 100: 64.68 — Grade B — Suggestion HOLD. This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, analyst consensus and fundamentals. The rating is informational and not financial advice.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly HK$2.50, quarterly HK$2.79, and 12-month HK$2.80 versus the current HK$2.47, implying a 13.39% upside to the 12-month model target. Longer-term projections show HK$4.09 in three years and HK$5.37 in five years. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
0020.HK stock: earnings, catalysts and calendar
SenseTime’s next earnings announcement is scheduled for 25 Mar 2026, which will likely drive short-term volatility given the company’s negative EPS and heavy R&D spend. Recent sector headlines and candlestick pattern commentary can add intraday noise to the stock source.
Key catalysts include revenue mix updates in AI-as-a-service, progress in SenseAuto partnerships, contract wins for smart city deployments, and Chinese regulatory developments affecting AI commercialization. Monitor receivables and cash flow trends ahead of the report.
0020.HK stock: risks and sector context
SenseTime faces valuation risk given a price-to-sales of 20.88 and negative operating margins. Industry-wide volatility in Hong Kong technology stocks and AI sentiment can amplify swings; sector average P/B is 2.51, making SenseTime’s 3.72 higher than peers.
Operational risks include long receivables (days sales outstanding 180.67) and reliance on continued client adoption. On the positive side, R&D-to-revenue is nearly 99.26%, showing investment in product roadmaps that could support longer-term growth if monetization improves.
Final Thoughts
SenseTime Group (0020.HK) closed the session down 10.83% at HK$2.47 on 25 Feb 2026, with 735,846,670.00 shares traded, marking it among Hong Kong’s most active stocks today. Short-term price pressure reflects profit-taking and sector weakness, while fundamentals show stretched valuation with negative EPS -HK$0.10 and a high price-to-sales of 20.88. Meyka AI’s model suggests a 12-month projection of HK$2.80, an implied upside of 13.39% versus the current price, and longer-term targets of HK$4.09 (3 years) and HK$5.37 (5 years). Active traders should monitor the upcoming 25 Mar 2026 earnings, support at the HK$2.37 50-day average and a breakdown risk below HK$2.04. For investors, the Meyka AI grade B (HOLD) balances growth prospects against cash-flow and margin headwinds. Use the Meyka AI platform tools and the SenseTime stock page for live charts and alerts before adjusting positions: https://meyka.ai/stocks/0020.HK. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
Why did 0020.HK stock drop sharply today?
0020.HK stock fell due to heavy intraday selling with volume 735,846,670.00, broader weakness in Hong Kong tech, and profit-taking after recent gains. Short-term technical weakness and sector rotation into other AI names amplified the move.
What is Meyka AI’s price outlook for 0020.HK stock?
Meyka AI’s model projects a 12-month target of HK$2.80, implying roughly 13.39% upside from HK$2.47. The model also shows HK$4.09 in three years and HK$5.37 in five years. These are projections, not guarantees.
Which levels should traders watch for 0020.HK stock?
Traders should watch short-term support at the 50-day MA HK$2.37 and longer-term support at the 200-day MA HK$2.04. A breakout above HK$2.79 would restore near-term bullish bias.
Is 0020.HK stock a buy after the sell-off?
After the sell-off the Meyka AI grade is B (HOLD). Investors should weigh valuation (PE -26.10, P/S 20.88), cash-flow deficits, and upcoming earnings before buying. Consider position size and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.